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The Federal Reserve Just Released Its August Inflation Forecast, and It Could Put the FOMC on a Collision Course for Its September Meeting

The market is unclear whether the Fed will hike interest rates at its September meeting.

The Federal Reserve Just Released Its August Inflation Forecast, and It Could Put the FOMC on a Collision Course for Its September Meeting

Published August 9, 2026 · Category: Finance

Overview

The Federal Open Market Committee's (FOMC) July meeting was divided. Three members dissented in favor of a rate hike, and Fed Chair Kevin Warsh made some conflicting statements during his post-meeting press conference. The FOMC's September meeting is now considered a toss-up.

According to CME Group's FedWatch tool, there's a nearly 55% likelihood the FOMC raises interest rates by a quarter point and roughly a 45% chance the Fed holds rates steady (as of Aug. 6).

Details

This means that employment and inflation data over the next month and a half will be vital. The Fed recently released its August inflation forecast, and it could put the FOMC on a collision course ahead of the September meeting.

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Source

Originally published at www.fool.com.

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